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Policy
decisions on the European level need reliable information and data.
Bringing together the world's leading experts for this two-day event,
the discussion will focus on the evidence-based policy research.
Measuring public sentiment, combining various modes of data gathering
on the field of public experiences, public sentiments, and the methodological
problems of measuring social and emotional capital are some of the
issues covered.
As
you may have noted, the proposed title for our gathering - "Measuring
the Emotional Capital of Europe" is a little bit catchy. Indeed.
But
both policy makers and economists are realizing that in order to
use micro-data they have to go beyond concepts used before.
Measuring
trust, measuring basic safety concerns of the citizens, measuring
economic confidence, social inclusion and exclusion, engagement
and social capital are becoming more and more a central concern
of those who are implementing policies. In order to measure progress
in Europe in these areas a whole series of concepts need operationalization.
In addition to renewing the traditional indicators, we are faced
with sampling challenges as well. Collecting survey based measures
for Europe as a whole forces us to rethink our sampling frames.
If we are talking about a European community, is it not time, to
talk about a European sampling frame at least, if not a European
frame of mind? Seriously - we probably know enough about Small Area
Estimation, and have enough information about those small areas
called nation states, that we start at least a debate about a new
wave of European-wide social surveys.
Finally,
we all know that survey research won't be the same in five years,
given the disappearance of face-to-face fieldwork capacities in
some European countries - not to talk about the alarmingly consistent
decline of response rates both in face to face and in phone surveys.
Talking about phone, we have already a number of countries in Europe,
where we have to admit that there is no point to wait for a further
increase in phone penetration into households, as the number of
fixed lines is decreasing instead. In exchange, we do not have to
worry about randomly selecting individuals within households to
have a reliable individual sample - as in some countries the penetration
of mobile phones among individuals are higher then the fixed line
penetration among households. And we have not talked about the web
yet.
The
point is clear. We need to think ahead about how we want to do evidence-based
policy research a few years from now. So, it is urgent to talk to
each other now.
Our
gathering in Brussels on June 2nd and 3rd serves as a spring board.
Probably everybody will agree that taking stock of what the leading
minds in these fields are doing and suggesting - learning from the
most recent experiences will be refreshing and challenging for those
who participate.
We
will have 3 sections. Everybody is asked to contribute in each (with
the understanding that a few people have to leave earlier). The
first section will take stock of the best practice of how survey-based
data are being used in policy implementation, the relevant questions
that should be asked, but aren't and what have we learned in the
field of emotional economy.
The
second section will explore in some detail the issues of measuring
experiences, how trust and confidence can be measured and what are
the issues of sampling and analyzing experiences.
Finally,
the third section will deal with the frontiers of social measurement
in terms of looking at survey modes, participation, coverage, non-response,
and survey quality issues. Essentially, where are we in terms of
trusting the "evidences" we are collecting.
I
would like to thank all of the contributors for their participation
and wish us an enlightening conference.
Robert
Manchin
Chairman
and Managing Director
The
Gallup Organisation Europe
May
2003
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