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Date of release: May 2-4
Released in: Rzeczpospolita
Link: click
here
Face to face random survey carried out between April
26-27 by PBS
N=1046 (national 18+ population)
Government may have a negative
influence on referendum
Negative opinions about Leszek
Miller's government may discourage Polish citizens to
vote in referendum. This is the opinion of three-fourth
of Poles - according to the results from the latest
Eurobarometer of "Rzeczpospolita".
69% think that the worst perceptions of the government
in The Third Republic of Poland will influence the way
we will vote in the referendum.
There is only slightly over a
month left to the referendum, meanwhile - according
to CBOS and OBOP - only every tenth surveyed person
has positive opinions about quality of ministers' work.
Poles' opinions of politicians will influence the turnout
in the referendum - these are anticipations of 75% of
surveyed people. Those who feel sure about it are mainly
young people, with high school degree, living in medium
towns.
Prof. Lena Kolarska-Bobinska
- Director of Institute of Public Affairs - admits that
negative perceptions of the government may have a negative
influence on the turnout in the referendum. If the integration
is perceived as "elites' project", the way
to express one's opposition will be disregarding the
referendum.
Currently, 56% of voting population
are determined to take part in the referendum. 23% of
polled people still hesitate ("rather yes").
At least half of the voting population has to vote in
the referendum to make it valid.
Will Poles' opinion of the government
influence the results of the accession referendum? Our
researches show that most of the respondents think so
- 69%. This opinion is shared mostly by those, who in
2001 supported parties, which disapproved the integration:
supporters of LPR - League of Polish Families (87%),
Self-Defence (73%) and also PSL - Polish Peasant Party
(74%), which is the party of diversified opinions of
EU.
Conclusions based on such questions
often reflect general opinions of media - calms down
prof. Lena Kolarska-Bobinska. In her opinion,
if negative perception of the government really indicated
the negative attitude towards the integration, now masses
of Poles would reject EU.
How does the support for EU look
like? Rzeczpospolita was the first to ask Poles exactly
the same question, as it will be in the referendum on
7th and 8th of June. Option "Yes" was chosen
by 81% of those who want to vote. This means an increase
by 8 points in comparison with the beginning of March,
when we carried out the previous Eurobarometer.
There will be a referendum
on the 7th and 8th of June on the accession of Poland
to EU. Will you take part in it?
Definitely yes: 56%
Rather yes: 23%
Definitely no: 8%
Rather no: 7%
No opinion: 6%
Will attitude towards the
government and politicians have an influence on:
- turnout in EU referendum?
Yes: 47%
Rather yes: 28%
Rather no: 12%
No: 8%
No opinion: 5%
- results of EU referendum?
Yes: 42%
Rather yes: 27%
Rather no: 15%
No: 11%
No opinion: 5%
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Monitored media 
